Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.019949 0.021547 0.023213 0.025079 0.027113 0.029264 0.031713
2025-10-12 0.017375 0.019677 0.022204 0.025188 0.028624 0.032463 0.037091
2025-10-19 0.015650 0.018355 0.021442 0.025237 0.029790 0.035098 0.041784
2025-10-26 0.014334 0.017294 0.020778 0.025201 0.030693 0.037323 0.045984
2025-11-02 0.013296 0.016432 0.020224 0.025172 0.031500 0.039374 0.049997
2025-11-09 0.012247 0.015454 0.019422 0.024728 0.031689 0.040587 0.052936
2025-11-16 0.011351 0.014593 0.018688 0.024285 0.031802 0.041646 0.055670
2025-11-23 0.010718 0.014020 0.018273 0.024206 0.032352 0.043267 0.059207
2025-11-30 0.010114 0.013443 0.017807 0.024010 0.032703 0.044604 0.062390
2025-12-07 0.009598 0.012949 0.017416 0.023879 0.033113 0.046012 0.065721
2025-12-14 0.009110 0.012462 0.017001 0.023680 0.033396 0.047231 0.068818
2025-12-21 0.008728 0.012100 0.016736 0.023668 0.033930 0.048819 0.072528
2025-12-28 0.008310 0.011681 0.016389 0.023547 0.034342 0.050314 0.076303
2026-01-04 0.007991 0.011391 0.016212 0.023669 0.035125 0.052416 0.081174
2026-01-11 0.007677 0.011089 0.016000 0.023719 0.035790 0.054359 0.085907
2026-01-18 0.007366 0.010773 0.015747 0.023686 0.036314 0.056099 0.090404
2026-01-25 0.007080 0.010479 0.015510 0.023659 0.036835 0.057848 0.095009
2026-02-01 0.006717 0.010050 0.015045 0.023244 0.036701 0.058512 0.097795
2026-02-08 0.006381 0.009646 0.014597 0.022831 0.036540 0.059110 0.100484
2026-02-15 0.006146 0.009390 0.014368 0.022757 0.036931 0.060644 0.104910
2026-02-22 0.005903 0.009108 0.014084 0.022574 0.037123 0.061838 0.108789
2026-03-01 0.005687 0.008862 0.013845 0.022452 0.037405 0.063197 0.113043
2026-03-08 0.005472 0.008606 0.013577 0.022266 0.037563 0.064335 0.116948